December 3, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Today we got less than expected easing from the ECB that triggered a massive risk off sell off in Europe, while on this side of the Atlantic the Fed Chair continues to make the case …

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December 2, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

In front of Friday’s OPEC meeting, S&P Energy Select etf (XLE) puts are active, with 83,000 puts already trading on the day, vs the one month average of 61k per day and 27k calls traded …

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November 20, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Since the start of QE and ZIRP, Don’t fight the Fed has been one of the most profitable consensus US equity trades of the last fifty years.  In the last year, the Fed has ended …

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October 8, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again, there is a distinct possibility that whatever is going on in China as it relates to their slowing economy is not nearly as bad as we generally …

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October 1, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Regular readers know that we have been and remain cautious about the current investment environment.  Here are a few links summarizing this view over the last six weeks: MorningWord 8/18/15: Warning Bells Scream in Silence $SPY …

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September 18, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

If you thought there were a lot of rosy outcomes for U.S. stocks no matter what the Fed did (or ultimately didn’t do) yesterday, then your investment framework is one of recent years, not of …

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