When Proctor & Gamble (PG) reports their fiscal Q4 results in early August the company will likely print an eps decline of 10% for fiscal year 2016 with a 15% sales decline. The expected $65 …
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Shares of Walmart are having their worst day today since its February 18th 3% decline following Q4 results that capped their first annual sales decline since 1980, and guided down for the current fiscal year 2017 vs …
Continue readingEvent: tomorrow before the open 3M (MMM) reports Q1 results, the options market is implying about a $5.25 move in either direction, or about 3%. The average move one day post earnings over the last …
Continue readingThe financial press likes to condense potential market catalysts down to this or that is the KEY to an upcoming event. For instance here are a few headlines I have seen or heard this week: …
Continue readingThis morning, Bloomberg reported on short interest in U.S. equity markets reaching levels not seen since 2008, with the suggestion that this could serve as a contrarian set up, quoting Fundstrat Global Advisor’s Thomas Lee, who opined: “There’s …
Continue readingThis morning in the WSJ’s Streetwise column, James McKintosh succinctly summed up the bi-polar behavior of investors in risk assets over the last last couple months (The Markets Have a Message: Don’t Believe This Rally): Worries …
Continue readingUPDATE 3/21/16: When I wrote this up on Friday I forgot to consider the fact that MCD shares go ex-dividend on May 27th, 2016, and if one was considering this sort of stock alternative strategy …
Continue readingAnnouncement: CC and I will be co hosting a live webinar this Monday for the Ticker District with my Options Action co-panelist Mike Khouw. We’ll be talking about options and event risk in particular and …
Continue readingCrude oil and the dollar have been the source of much of global market volatility across asset classes the past year. The end of QE in late 2014 caused the dollar to emerge from its …
Continue readingMuch of the volatility in global risk assets since mid 2014 is a result of 20% rally in U.S. Dollar (DXY) from its May 2014 lows to its March 2015 highs: The DXY rallied as …
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