May 16, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

When Proctor & Gamble (PG) reports their fiscal Q4 results in early August the company will likely print an eps decline of 10% for fiscal year 2016 with a 15% sales decline. The expected $65 …

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April 29, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Shares of Walmart are having their worst day today since its February 18th 3% decline following Q4 results that capped their first annual sales decline since 1980, and guided down for the current fiscal year 2017 vs …

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April 25, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: tomorrow before the open 3M (MMM) reports Q1 results, the options market is implying about a $5.25 move in either direction, or about 3%.  The average move one day post earnings over the last …

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April 6, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

This morning, Bloomberg reported on short interest in U.S. equity markets reaching levels not seen since 2008, with the suggestion that this could serve as a contrarian set up, quoting Fundstrat Global Advisor’s Thomas Lee, who opined:  “There’s …

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March 29, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

This morning in the WSJ’s Streetwise column, James McKintosh succinctly summed up the bi-polar behavior of investors in risk assets over the last last couple months (The Markets Have a Message: Don’t Believe This Rally): Worries …

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March 18, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Announcement: CC and I will be co hosting a live webinar this Monday for the Ticker District with my Options Action co-panelist Mike Khouw. We’ll be talking about options and event risk in particular and …

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March 17, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Crude oil and the dollar have been the source of much of global market volatility across asset classes the past year.  The end of QE in late 2014 caused the dollar to emerge from its …

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