August 18, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

In case you missed the headline: *WTI CRUDE CLOSES IN BULL MARKET, UP 22% FROM EARLY AUGUST LOW – Bloomberg That was a fairly epic short term bounce right from the nice round number and level …

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August 17, 2016 by Dan • FREE ACCESS

At 2pm this afternoon the Federal Reserve will release the Minutes from their July FOMC meeting. Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Adviser to Allianz, had an insightful preview this morning for Bloomberg View (here).  El-Erian concluded his list of what to …

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August 1, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Procter & Gamble (PG) report fiscal Q4 results tomorrow before the opening bell. The options market is implying about a 2.5% one day post earnings move vs its 4 quarter one day average move …

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July 22, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Having just broken out to new all time highs, the S&P 500 (SPX) is up 6.25% on the year, and up 20% from its 2016 lows at 1810, made on February 11th. It’ now 6.5% …

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July 15, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Depending on your world view, the U.S. dollar has either been range bound in the last year, with the U.S. dollar index trading between $100 on the upside and $92.50 on the downside, with the 200 day moving …

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June 28, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Prior to the Brexit vote last week in the UK, a Leave decision was not a major input for my cautious view in U.S. stocks (MorningWord 6/23/16: Cause I Don’t Want to Be… Anarchy). In hindsight, …

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