June 15, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

I have been staring at stock charts every day for nearly 20 years. The following chart of the S&P 500 (SPX) over the last two years quite simply confounds me: When I consider the potential …

Continue reading
May 20, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

You know the drill by now, Fed Fund futures went from pricing about a 4% chance of the Fed raising interest rates for the first time since December 2015, and only the second time since …

Continue reading
March 29, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

This morning in the WSJ’s Streetwise column, James McKintosh succinctly summed up the bi-polar behavior of investors in risk assets over the last last couple months (The Markets Have a Message: Don’t Believe This Rally): Worries …

Continue reading
February 5, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

On January 28th Visa (V) reported fiscal Q1 results that beat expectations, and offered in-line guidance. The stock rallied 7.5% the next day.  On the earnings call management suggested that the strength of the dollar …

Continue reading
January 30, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

What’s the Bull Case?  Written by Jay Pelosky (bio below) for Itau’s Global Connections Jan 29th, 2016 It has certainly been a challenging start to the year – even for someone like myself who has been quite cautious (see …

Continue reading
December 10, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Yesterday was the third consecutive decline for the S&P 500 (SPX). A rare occurrence in 2015. And there was some fairly interesting price action in yesterday’s session, across asset classes. First and foremost, the 2% intra-day reversal. …

Continue reading