August 22, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Toll Brothers (TOL) reports their fiscal Q3 results tomorrow before the open. The options market is implying about a 4% one day post earnings move, which is shy of the average move following the …

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June 22, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Yesterday, Lennar (LEN), the largest homebuilding company by market cap and sales beat Q2 earnings estimates. Deliveries rose 12% year over year with a 4% increase in selling prices.  Given the rate environment and the …

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June 16, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Regular readers know I haven’t had many positive things to say about the prospects for banks stocks in 2016. My cautious view has had little to do with the recent concern emanating from the increased (yet …

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February 2, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Yesterday, I gave my thoughts on Barron’s cover story (MorningWord 2/1/16: Crying All the Way to the Bank) where they suggested that it is Time to Buy Bank Stocks.  My view was quite simple that the …

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August 5, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Event: Tesla (TSLA) reports Q2 results after the close.  The options market is implying about an 8% one day move (or about $21 in either direction), which is very rich to the 4 qtr average …

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April 15, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

On Monday I previewed NFLX’s Q1 results due out after the close (below).  The implied one day move is now about 9.5%, the April 17th weekly $472.50 straddle (the put and the call premium) is …

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April 13, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Netflix (NFLX) reports Q1 results Wednesday after the close.  The options market is implying about a 10% one day move which is shy of the 12.5% average over the last 4 qtrs, and below the …

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