January 12, 2017 by riskreversal • Trade Ideas

JP Morgan reports Q4 results tomorrow before the open. The options market is implying about a 2.3% one day post earnings move, which is rich to the 4 qtr average one day post earnings move …

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August 9, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Disney (DIS) will report fiscal Q3 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 3.3% one day post earnings move which is well below the 5% four qtr one day average …

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February 5, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

On January 28th Visa (V) reported fiscal Q1 results that beat expectations, and offered in-line guidance. The stock rallied 7.5% the next day.  On the earnings call management suggested that the strength of the dollar …

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February 5, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

On Monday I highlighted a bearish options trade in GE (here): When the stock was $28.86, a trader bought to open 30,000 of the March 26 puts for 28 cents to open ($840,000 in premium), …

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January 26, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Boeing (BA) reports Q4 results tomorrow before the open. The options market is implying about a 4% one day move, which is rich to the 4 qtr average one day move of 2.5%, and …

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January 11, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Under Armour has been an astonishing growth story with great products, ballsy management, and a surging brand thanks to attractive endorsers, but the stock has been in a serious funk since its all time highs made …

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January 6, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

To state the obvious, positive returns in U.S. equity markets were hard to come by unless you were invested in a couple dozen large cap growth stocks. And from a trading perspective it was a fool’s …

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January 4, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Regular readers know that commodities and their related stocks aren’t usually my focus. Despite my tourist status, I have had some views on crude oil weakness since the end of 2014. Those views have remained steadfast …

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December 16, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Last week I previewed Oracle’s (ORCL) fiscal Q2 earnings report due out after the close (here). With just a few hours to the print, the options market is implying about a 5% move between now …

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December 15, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

The largest single stock options trade so far today was a bearish roll in Freeport McMoran (FCX), a stock that we recently placed a contrarian bullish options trade in (read here). First I want to …

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