Here’s a guest post from friend of the site (and Dan’s Options Action co-panelist) Michael Khouw. We talk a lot about implied moves here on the site and there’s some quick back of the napkin …
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On CNBC’s Fast Money, my co-panelist Tim Seymour and I have had a little back and forth of late on the notion that some market participants/pundits (not me) confuse the volatility in the Chinese stock …
Continue readingEvent: Starbucks reports fiscal Q1 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 5% one day move, which is rich to the 4 qtr one day avg move of 3.25% and …
Continue readingOn January 6th we targeted the consumer discretionary etf (XLY) for a pullback (read here) as a sort of chicken-shit way to get short exposure on some prior market leaders like AMZN, NFLX, HD, NKE, SBUX. …
Continue readingHere is a quick recap of trades that we initiated, closed, or debated in the week that was Nov 30th to Dec 4th:
Continue readingOne of our focuses at RiskReversal is trade management. And not just for trades ideas we do ourselves but also trades ideas that make sense against assumed long positions, as portfolio hedges, as yield enhancement …
Continue readingEvent: Starbucks (SBUX) reports fiscal Q4 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 4.5% one day move tomorrow, which is rich to the 4 qtr average of about 3.75% and …
Continue readingSince the market swoon in late August, and its subsequent rebound we have tried to be patient on laying out new shorts. We have been cautious despite the fact that we feel the U.S. stock …
Continue readingBear market rallies can be cruel traps. We are not suggesting we are in a bear market just yet, but as we have been saying for months, the path of least resistance is no longer …
Continue readingRemember the Flash Crash back on May 6th 2010? I do. The S&P 500 opened at 1164, unchanged from the prior session, traded down nearly 100 points to 1065, and rallied back intra day to …
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