April 15, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

On Monday I previewed NFLX’s Q1 results due out after the close (below).  The implied one day move is now about 9.5%, the April 17th weekly $472.50 straddle (the put and the call premium) is …

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April 13, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Netflix (NFLX) reports Q1 results Wednesday after the close.  The options market is implying about a 10% one day move which is shy of the 12.5% average over the last 4 qtrs, and below the …

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February 27, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

One of the more interesting stories of the week came from the Wall Street Journal on Wednesday – YouTube: 1 Billion Viewers, No Profit, suggesting that despite YouTube’s massive cultural significance the video site owned by …

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January 23, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Despite the tax cut consumers and businesses are receiving from lower oil, get ready to see the mother of all excuses for earnings misses in the term currency headwind.  It has been my view that …

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December 8, 2014 by Dan • Commentary

Over the weekend, Barron’s felt the need to remind the investment community of the anniversary of the dot-com burst 15 years ago (read here). But they also wanted to let us know why “this time …

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October 15, 2014 by Enis • Commentary

Event:  NFLX reports its Q3 earnings today after the close.  The options market is implying about a 7.25% one day move, which is below both the 4 qtr avg of about 9.5% and the 8 qtr avg …

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July 21, 2014 by Enis • Commentary

Event:  NFLX reports its Q2 earnings today after the close.  The options market is implying about a 8% one day move, which is below both the 4 qtr avg of about 9.25% and the 8 qtr avg …

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May 30, 2014 by Dan • Commentary

Today’s price action, SPX unchanged, Nasdaq down marginally but high valuation sectors like Solar (TAN  -2.6%, SCTY -5%), Internet stocks (SOCL -1.5%, TWTR -4.5%, YELP -3%) and SaaS/CRM stocks (CRM -3%, NOW & WDAY -4%) acting noticeably …

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