June 2, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

On May 19th, I laid out my near term bearish thesis for shares of MSFT (Clouded by Azure), highlighting investor focus on their public cloud business and valuation: Despite fast growing businesses like Office 365 …

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May 19, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Microsoft (MSFT) has enjoyed a bit of a resurgence from a relevance standpoint since Satya Nadella took the CEO helm after formerly heading the company’s cloud business.  The new found focus of Nadella on innovation …

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April 27, 2016 by CC • Trade Ideas

Dan had a great preview of Facebook’s Q1 earnings due after the bell. Our view is that over the long term some of the same pain that they are causing their online competitors will eventually …

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April 26, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

On Friday afternoon I previewed a bearish trade in shares of the Technology Select etf, the XLK (below), and discussed on Friday’s Options Action on CNBC: I think I was pretty clear that I wanted to …

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April 22, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Earlier today I offered some thoughts on Q1 earnings season (read here), but the quick take-away as we finish the second full week of results is that stocks that had low expectations and had not …

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April 22, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Q1 earnings season is off to a sort of meh start. Last week, bank stocks rallied off of very low expectations, poor relative performance and results that were good enough to cause a bit of …

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April 21, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Microsoft (MSFT) reports fiscal Q3 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 4.3% one day move, which is well below the 4 qtr average one day move of about 7.5%, and inline …

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April 18, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

On Friday’s Options Action, my co-panelist Carter Worth of Cornerstone Macro Research made the bullish case for a breakout of shares of Microsoft (MSFT) in the near future: Interestingly, Carter beat me to it, as I had …

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March 14, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Event: Oracle (ORCL) reports fiscal Q3 results tomorrow after the close. The options market is implying about a 4.5% one day move, which is slightly high of its 4 quarter average of about 4.25%, but in …

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