I wanted to circle back to a trade we have on in the XRT (retail ETF) from Nov 21st (here) as it’s working well but we’ll likely make a move on it in the next …
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Two weeks ago Dan initiated a trade in XRT, the retail etf, with the thought that recent strength was probably too far too fast and the retail stocks were close to taking a breather. The …
Continue readingOn a few occasions of late I have described my aversion to stepping in front of what appeared to be an impending breakout in retail stocks heading into the holiday season (reprinted below). But with the …
Continue readingGameStop (GME) reports their Q3 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying a whopping two day move (using Nov 22nd expiration options) of about 10%. The Nov 44 straddle (the put and …
Continue readingI am fairly certain that whatever type of market participant you are (active, passive, or have merely a viewer of financial TV) then you have heard the statement “the stock market is a discount mechanism”. …
Continue readingLowe’s (LOW) reports their Q3 results prior to the open tomorrow. The options market is implying a roughly 5% one day move in either direction which is rich to the 4 qtr avg of about …
Continue readingEvent: TGT reports its fiscal Q3 earnings tomorrow morning before the open. The options market is implying about a 3.5% one day move, which is slightly above the 4 quarter average of 3.25% and the 8 …
Continue readingEvent: HD reports its fiscal Q3 earnings tomorrow morning before the open. The options market is implying about a 3.25% one day move, which is in line with both the 4 and 8 quarter average of …
Continue readingAnother low volume day in the broader market, accompanied by light options volume outside of VIX, AAPL, and SPY options. 1. VIX – Buyer of 145k of the Oct 16 calls paying 1.10 vs. selling 145k …
Continue readingEvent: HD reports its fiscal Q2 earnings tomorrow morning before the open. The options market is implying about a 2.5% one day move, which is slightly above the 4 qtr avg of about 2%, but …
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