June 26, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Back in late April I initiated a bearish position (read here) in Intel (INTC) shortly after their weak Q1 results and Q2 guidance, along with similar from Texas Instruments (TXN) and Qualcomm (QCOM), here was …

Continue reading
June 10, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

We have had our eye on MU in 2015. I last looked at it in mid May when the stock was $26.60 (read below). Despite some $50 billion in semiconductor m&a, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor …

Continue reading
June 2, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Shortly after NXPI’s takeover offer for Freescale I took a look at Ambarella (AMBA), the chip supplier to GoPro (GPRO) (read here), and concluded: The stock is not cheap, and its future for the time being is …

Continue reading
June 2, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

There are specific themes that seem to dominate the various stages of a bull or bear market.  For the better part of 2013 and 2014 capital return in lieu of top line growth was the theme. …

Continue reading
May 28, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

This morning it is being confirmed that Singaporean based Avago Technologies (AVGO) has reached an agreement to pay $37 billion ($17 billion in cash and the balance in stock) for Broadcom (BRCM).  The stock broke out …

Continue reading
May 14, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Last night on CNBC’s Fast Money we had a brief discussion about semiconductor stocks on the heels of Qualcomm’s (QCOM) $10 billion bond deal to fund its previously announced buyback. The feelings of the panelists were …

Continue reading
May 13, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Back on March 9th Qualcomm (QCOM) announced a Major Increase in Capital Return Program: Available Stock Repurchase Authorization Now $15 Billion Annualized Dividend Increased 14% to $1.92 per Share Plans to Repurchase $10 Billion in Stock …

Continue reading
April 24, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

We have made a couple bearish trades in the semiconductor space in the last couple months, MU (here) and INTC (here). The main reason for the bearish stance has been the waning momentum in a group that …

Continue reading
April 20, 2015 by Dan • Education

Shares of Microsoft are up 3.5% today, its largest one day gain of the year, bringing its losses for the year to about 7%.  There does not appear to be any news in the stock …

Continue reading