Event: HPQ reports their fiscal Q2 earnings tonight after the close. The options market is implying about an 8% move vs the 4 qtr avg move of about 9%. Sentiment: Wall Street analysts remain on …
Continue readingHV
Netflix is not a stock for the faint of heart. Lest you needed any evidence, here is the 3 year weekly chart: So a move from 75 to 300 in less than 18 months, and …
Continue readingI initiated a range trade on STZ on January 8th ahead of its earnings report. I ended up with much more than I bargained for when I got into this position. Check out the 17 …
Continue readingGOOG’s earnings are out, and my call calendar from yesterday was designed as a one-day trade, so with a winner on my hands, I don’t want to overstay my welcome. Ideally, I would have chosen …
Continue readingGOOG reports after the close, and I laid out my broad thoughts in the 4Q preview (below). I am relatively neutral on direction, but ended up settling on a good risk/reward options trade nonetheless. …
Continue readingEvent: GOOG reports Q3 earnings tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 5.5% move, vs the trailing 4 qtr avg move of ~6% and the 8 qtr avg of ~7%. Sentiment …
Continue readingI laid out my thoughts on STZ in my earnings preview earlier today (included below). Given the high level of implied volatility, and my lack of directional bias, I basically just want to sell volatility …
Continue readingEvent: STZ reports its calendar Q4 earnings Wednesday before the open. The options market is implying about a 7% move post-earnings, which is slightly low relative to both the 4 qtr avg move of about 11%, …
Continue readingEvent: AA reports Q4 earnings tonight after the close, the options market is implying about a 4% move, vs the 4 qtr avg of 3.75% and the 8 qtr avg of 3.25%.
Continue readingTrade Update Dec 20th, 2012: With RIMM up 16% in the 2 weeks since I initiated the Dec weekly 11.50 / Dec regular 12 Put Calendar*, my trade has lost two thirds of its value. The …
Continue reading