May 22, 2013 by Dan • Commentary

Event:  HPQ reports their fiscal Q2 earnings tonight after the close.  The options market is implying about an 8% move vs the 4 qtr avg move of about 9%. Sentiment:  Wall Street analysts remain on …

Continue reading
March 18, 2013 by Enis • Commentary

Netflix is not a stock for the faint of heart.  Lest you needed any evidence, here is the 3 year weekly chart: So a move from 75 to 300 in less than 18 months, and …

Continue reading
January 22, 2013 by Enis • Commentary

GOOG reports after the close, and I laid out my broad thoughts in the 4Q preview (below). I am relatively neutral on direction, but ended up settling on a good risk/reward options trade nonetheless.   …

Continue reading
January 22, 2013 by Enis • Commentary

Event:  GOOG reports Q3 earnings tonight after the close.  The options market is implying about a 5.5% move, vs the trailing 4 qtr avg move of ~6% and the 8 qtr avg of ~7%. Sentiment …

Continue reading
January 8, 2013 by Enis • Commentary

Event: STZ reports its calendar Q4 earnings Wednesday before the open.  The options market is implying about a 7% move post-earnings, which is slightly low relative to both the 4 qtr avg move of about 11%, …

Continue reading
January 8, 2013 by Dan • Commentary

Event:  AA reports Q4 earnings tonight after the close, the options market is implying about a 4% move, vs the 4 qtr avg of 3.75% and the 8 qtr avg of 3.25%.  

Continue reading