Dan mentioned the very strong outperformance of high short interest names with concentrated holders a few weeks ago in his Morning Word. In that post, he highlighted a few names: Which leads me back to …
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MorningWord 5/3/13: The financial fate of the planet is now known, the April Non Farm Payrolls number came in at 165k with the unemployment rate ticking down to 7.5%. Plus, the U.S. fed told us …
Continue readingMorningWord 5/2/13: We spent a bit of time looking at FB heading into their Q1 print last night (here) and after debating all of the qualitative and quantitative inputs we use to arrive at a direction view for a …
Continue readingMorningWord 5/01/13: Investors are desperate for yield, I get it, that’s why 3 of the strongest sectors in the S&P ytd have been Healthcare, Staples and Utilities. We have heard this again and again but as many of the components of these sectors …
Continue readingMorningWord 4/30/13: Last night HLF reported their Q1 results that were better than expected and guided the full year eps slightly above the current mid point. While the stock has garnered a lot of attention …
Continue readingEvent: HLF reports Q1 earnings tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 8% move, which is just below the 4 qtr avg move of ~8.5% and the 8 qtr avg move …
Continue readingTrade Update April 1st, 2013, 9:50 am: I initiated a short volatility trade on HLF in mid-February with the thought that the bullish and bearish campaigns of Icahn and Ackman would end in a stalemate …
Continue readingWe first wrote about HLF back in October, when the market was more focused on whether David Einhorn was short the stock or not. It turned out that Ackman was the big short seller, and …
Continue readingMorningWord 2/8/13: Last night LNKD reported Q4 sales and earnings that handily beat Wall Street expectations and raised Q1 guidance which could prove to be conservative if the company maintains current quarter over quarter growth rates. …
Continue readingMorningWord 2/7/13: With S&P 500 earnings more than two thirds complete for Q4, the data suggests a fairly healthy beat rate by most of the super-sectors in the index. Yesterday, Bespoke ran a chart showing 64% of the companies …
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