July 12, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Shares of Caterpillar (CAT) have been a sort of an anomaly at times over the last five years as the commodity super-cycle, and the promise of everlasting emerging market growth came undone. A look back at …

Continue reading
June 15, 2016 by Dan • Big Printin'

U.S. stocks large cap stocks are the best performing in the developed world, with the S&P 500 (SPX) up nearly 1.5% in 2016, and down about 2% from its year ago all time highs, vs …

Continue reading
April 11, 2016 by Dan • Trade Updates

Event: Alocoa (AA) reports Q1 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 7% one day post earnings move which is rich to its 4 qtr avg move of about 4.25% …

Continue reading
January 30, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

What’s the Bull Case?  Written by Jay Pelosky (bio below) for Itau’s Global Connections Jan 29th, 2016 It has certainly been a challenging start to the year – even for someone like myself who has been quite cautious (see …

Continue reading
August 5, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

We have been picking on Procter & Gamble (PG) all year. We’ve done it near its all time highs in January when the stock was just shy of $90 (read here) and most recently prior …

Continue reading
September 2, 2014 by Dan • Commentary

Last month’s towering accomplishment in the S&P 500 of finally topping the nice round number of 2000 was the surest way to get some equity market strategists dreaming of 3000.  This morning, Morgan Stanley’s strategist …

Continue reading
August 19, 2014 by Dan • Commentary

Whether you’re a bull or bear on the broad market, you have to agree that Home Depot’s technical breakout above the prior all time highs is nothing short of a work of art: For all …

Continue reading