Back in October, in the throes of what was the largest peak to trough sell off in years, I highlighted a group of U.S. Consumer stocks that I dubbed Teflong™, with respect to their near cult like status …
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Event: Disney (DIS) reports fiscal Q2 results tomorrow before the open, the options market is implying about a 4% event move*, vs the qtr average of about 2.75%. It is important to note that last …
Continue readingHere is some generally directional, untied options activity that caught my eye during Friday’s trading: 1. DIS – with the stock less than 1% from its all time highs at $109.58, a trader paid up to 1.70 …
Continue readingBack on Feb 10th, following KO’s Q4 results, we placed a short term bearish trade as we felt the stock’s gains of 3% on the results delivered was unwarranted. A month later the stock was …
Continue readingOn Friday after noon we outlined a trade idea in the Consumer Discretionary etf, XLY. The idea was not to press the weakness, but wait for a bounce and then enter the trade. With equities …
Continue readingExpanding on the consumer discretionary theme from earlier (New Trade – $LULU: Downward Dog?), I think it warrants taking look at a sector etf that has been more resilient then teflon, the XLY. All you …
Continue readingA fortnight ago we considered portfolio protection using the SPY (read here). Since that time the S&P 500 is up about 2%, and once again threatening to make a new all time high, now just 1% …
Continue readingOn Friday I made, what is in hindsight, a boneheaded short biased trade in Disney (below). Since the stock’s blowout results last night I have thought a lot about this trade, and what drew me …
Continue readingFriday afternoon I laid out a very near term bearish case for shares of Disney (DIS) into their fiscal Q1 report due after the close tonight (read below). I wanted to be very clear, DIS …
Continue readingDisney (DIS) reports their fiscal Q1 earnings Tuesday after the close, the options market is implying a 3% on day move, vs the 4 qtr avg move of only 1.7%. The stock is obviously not …
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