Citigroup Surprise Index

Macro Wrap – The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly

April 25, 2013 by Enis • Commentary

As the SPX approaches new highs, mixed signals abound. The most positive driver is continued global monetary easing, currently led by the U.S. and Japan, and many expect the ECB to join the party shortly, …

Chart of the Day – 2011 or 2012 Analog Not Applicable?

February 28, 2013 by Enis • Commentary

In the past month, I’ve seen many variations of the following 2 charts, comparing the performance in the S&P 500 in 2013 to the start of 2012 and 2011. Here are the 2 charts, courtesy …

Chart of the Day – Citigroup Surprise Index

January 24, 2013 by Enis • Commentary

The Citigroup Surprise Index for the U.S. measures macroeconomic data vs. expectations. When the economic data is coming in much better than expected, you’ll see a strongly positive number for the Surprise Index, and a …

Halftime Report Preview – Global Growth?

June 29, 2012 by Enis • Commentary

Here’s a preview of one of the things we’ll be discussing on the Fast Money Halftime report today: Even before today’s news, the market had gradually removed the potential for a systemic banking crisis from …