Here is a quick recap of all of the trades that we initiated, closed, managed or expired in the week that was Dec 16th – Dec 20th:
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CF has moved back down to near the breakout level for the stock after it broke through the 220-221 resistance level at the start of the month. Given that that area acted as resistance for …
Continue readingWe initially became interested in CF after Dan Loeb’s Third Point fund announced its new stake in the company in late July, when the stock was trading around $180. The stock quickly spiked to around …
Continue readingWe’ve had some luck trading ahead of earnings this week, in both the AAPL condor and the FB call butterfly. Next week is a similarly busy earnings season, with a number of high fliers reporting. Some of …
Continue readingWhile the broader market has embraced a confident, optimistic bent in 2013, fertilizer companies have been mired in a swamp of pessimism. The major trouble hit in late July when the Russian-Belarussian potash cartel announced …
Continue readingCF is slightly higher from when we initiated a call butterfly ahead of earnings about 2 weeks ago. In that time, CF has actually been in a very tight range, between 185 and 192 for …
Continue readingI previewed CF earnings yesterday (below – report is after the close today). The stock piqued my interest after Dan Loeb’s Third Point announced a stake last Monday, and then the potash cartel broke up …
Continue readingEvent: CF reports their fiscal Q2 earnings on August 6th after the close. The options market is implying about a 4.25% one day move, which is above the 4 qtr avg of about 2.25% and …
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