May 24, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

In my preview of Disney’s (DIS) fiscal Q2 earnings on May 10th, when the stock was $106, I saw very few scenarios where the stock would rally after the print: The 11% bounce in the …

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May 11, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Earlier today I highlighted the relative weakness from last year’s all time highs in the S&P 500 (SPX) of some prior market leaders that I have dubbed U.S. Consumer Teflong™ Portfolio (read here).  The group consists …

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May 10, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Disney (DIS) will report fiscal Q2 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 3% one day post earnings move (last quarter implied move was 5.5%), which is below the …

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March 23, 2015 by CC • Commentary

CBS – it looked like a trader closed the March 62.5 calls in CBS, 20,000+ at an average price of 94c or so. Dan pointed out some call buying back in Feb here: http://www.riskreversal.com/2015/02/12/wednesdays-notable-options-activity-cbs-dltr-nav-wmb/ I …

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March 2, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

In case you missed it, Lumber Liquidators (LL) was featured in a VERY negative light on last night’s 60 Minutes program on CBS, with not only short sellers suggesting massive fraud by the company, but …

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