July 12, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Following up on my thoughts on Caterpillar (CAT), I think its worth noting the relative under-performance of its peer Deere (DE) which is up only 8% on the year, and down 7% from its June …

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July 12, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Shares of Caterpillar (CAT) have been a sort of an anomaly at times over the last five years as the commodity super-cycle, and the promise of everlasting emerging market growth came undone. A look back at …

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June 1, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Joy Global (JOY) the manufacturer of mining equipment reports fiscal Q2 results tomorrow before the open. The options market is implying a one day post earnings move of about 12.5%. With the stock at …

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May 16, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

This morning the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker, which shows a meaningful uptick in Q2 activity is making the rounds: On May 13, the #GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth in Q22016 is 2.8% https://t.co/FMxeZy8vKJ pic.twitter.com/tMm2HJfS4B …

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April 7, 2016 by Dan • Trade Updates

Shares of Caterpillar (CAT) are up 33% from its 52 week and 6 year lows made in late January, with the stock now up 10% in 2016. The year to date out-performance comes after a …

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February 5, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Caterpillar (CAT) has been the poster-child for U.S. multi-nationals who are heavily exposed to emerging markets for future growth and are feeling the adverse affects of the strength of the U.S. dollar since the end …

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December 2, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

This morning, rather than focusing on the handful of stocks driving most of the performance in the U.S. equity market and have no top in sight, Amazon, Facebook, Google & Netflix, I will instead focus …

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September 25, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

In case you missed it, Caterpillar (CAT) was down 6.25% yesterday making a new 5 year low after pre-announcing results that were much worse than expected. CAT is now down 42% from its 2014 high: …

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July 28, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

On Friday’s Options Action on CNBC, my co-panelist Carter Worth laid out a very convincing bearish technical take on shares of UPS, watch here: In Carter’s opinion, there are three charts to look at  as …

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