We’ve been for months on RiskReversal that while there’s a lot to avoid in this market, there are a few investment thesis that have a high probability of success in volatile times. Some of these theses can be considered …
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Back on January 15th we laid out a bullish case for being long U.S. Treasuries and detailed our bullish trade in the TLT, the iShares 20 year Treasury Bond etf to reflect this view (read: Trade …
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Yesterday in my MorningWord (Skyfall for Treasury Yields?) I offered my take on the prior night Fast Money guest Raoul Pal‘s view U.S Treasury yields were likely to go lower over the course of the next year, …
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We had Global Macro Investor‘s Raoul Pal on CNBC’s Fast Money last night. He detailed his generally gloomy outlook for the global economy and offered a fairly non-consensus view that the yield on the 10 …
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Yesterday’s price action in U.S. stocks following the release of the October FOMC meeting minutes suggests, at least for now, that equity investors are comfortable with the notion of a rate increase at their Dec …
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In a great interview with the Financial Times, John Burbank of multi-strategy hedge fund Passport Capital this morning explains the reasoning behind his firms large wagers against commodities and emerging markets: Mr Burbank said years of QE had …
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A little more than 2 weeks ago, we expressed a near term bullish view in U.S. Treasuries when the 30 Year Bond etf (TLT) was trading $121 (below), a little less than 2% from where …
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Back on Jan 16th (TLT: No Mr. Bond, I Expect You To Die) I had the following to say about the rally in Treasury Bonds; It is our sense that the U.S. Treasury rally is …
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Here is some generally directional, untied options activity that caught my eye during Thursday’s trading: 1. CHK – On Wednesday we saw crazy short dated call buying in UAL (here), and yesterday we see a considerably larger, much longer …
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Here is some generally directional, untied options activity that caught my eye during Thursday’s trading: 1. HRB – An interesting trade went up with the stock around $32, a trader sold 20,000 of the April …
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