Prior to Lennar’s (LEN) Q4 results in mid December we placed a defined risk bearish bet looking for a pullback to the September lows with a possible breakdown to $44. Here was the initial trade and …
Continue readingTrade Ideas
We’ve had a view for some time that despite some temporary headline driven counter trend moves here or there, the U.S. dollar will remain strong vs other currencies due to the fact that the U.S. …
Continue readingRegular readers know that commodities and their related stocks aren’t usually my focus. Despite my tourist status, I have had some views on crude oil weakness since the end of 2014. Those views have remained steadfast …
Continue readingFor some time now we have stated our belief that AAPL stock would likely remain range-bound through year end. On November 10th we detailed a trade to add yield for those that were long AAPL …
Continue readingOne of our focuses at RiskReversal is trade management. And not just for trades ideas we do ourselves but also trades ideas that make sense against assumed long positions, as portfolio hedges, as yield enhancement …
Continue readingOn August 21st, when the volatility in almost every other risk asset class the world over, finally visited U.S. equities, we wrote a post identifying levels we felt were safe near term long entries in two beloved stocks, Apple (AAPL) and …
Continue readingHere is a quick recap of trades that we initiated, closed, or debated in the week that was July 20th – July 24th:
Continue readingMicrosoft has been a fairly tricky stock so far in 2015, trading within a 22% range from the early April lows, to the late April highs, with two massive gaps post earnings results (down 9% …
Continue readingYesterday we previewed Adobe’s (ADBE) fiscal Q2 results due out after the close today (below), and concluded: into the print I would expect it would take a meaningful beat and raise for the stock to …
Continue readingHere is some generally directional, untied options activity that caught my eye during Wednesday’s trading: 1. VIX – call volume exploded yesterday, 2x avg daily. The largest trade on the day is a buy of 25,000 …
Continue reading