On Tuesday we detailed a bearish long premium directional trade idea in the IWM, the etf that tracks the Russell 2000, the small cap U.S. index (read here). Here was our view about the current …
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You know the drill, just as I described in my prior post on XLB, I was early, and early equals wrong, but I remain convicted and want to roll out some recently placed bearish views. …
Continue readingIn a previous post I gave my thoughts on crude oil (here) and the recent 45% rally over the last month. The bounce in the commodity has eased investor’s concern in credit, currency and equity markets. …
Continue readingPrior to Crude Oil’s 45% rally off of last month’s 13 year lows, the commodity declined 75% from its 2014 high, remains 65% off of those levels, and is down about 75% from its 2008 …
Continue readingShares of Qualcomm (QCOM) had a miserable 2015, down 33%, vs the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down only 3.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 5.5%. The company had no shortage of issues last year, including threats …
Continue readingThe rally in the S&P 500 (SPX) from last month’s lows near 1800 to today at 2000 was initially powered by some of the most loved and most prominently weighted in the index. But of …
Continue readingEvent: Shake Shack reports Q4 results after the close, the options market is implying about a 10% one day move in either direction. I would note that in the 4 quarters the company has reported …
Continue readingEarlier today in my MorningWord I highlighted the conundrum of the data dependent U.S. Federal Reserve, faced with U.S. economic data hitting their prior targets for employment and inflation and the possibility for renewed tightening, vs the …
Continue readingAs the broad market broke out above some key near term technical resistance earlier in the week, and crude oil has stabilized in the low to mid $30s, there has been some fairly speculative buying …
Continue readingJanus Capital’s Bill Gross issued his monthly investment outlook this morning (here) with a specific focus on financial stocks, particularly banks. Not surprisingly, Gross is cautious on the sector. He feels that monetary policy that have …
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