March 11, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

On Tuesday we detailed a bearish long premium directional trade idea in the IWM, the etf that tracks the Russell 2000, the small cap U.S. index (read here).  Here was our view about the current …

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March 9, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

In a previous post I gave my thoughts on crude oil (here) and the recent 45% rally over the last month. The bounce in the commodity has eased investor’s concern in credit, currency and equity markets. …

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March 9, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Prior to Crude Oil’s 45% rally off of last month’s 13 year lows, the commodity declined 75% from its 2014 high, remains 65% off of those levels, and is down about 75% from its 2008 …

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March 8, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Shares of Qualcomm (QCOM) had a miserable 2015, down 33%, vs the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down only 3.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 5.5%. The company had no shortage of issues last year, including threats …

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March 7, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Shake Shack reports Q4 results after the close, the options market is implying about a 10% one day move in either direction. I would note that in the 4 quarters the company has reported …

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March 4, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Earlier today in my MorningWord I highlighted the conundrum of the data dependent U.S. Federal Reserve, faced with U.S. economic data hitting their prior targets for employment and inflation and the possibility for renewed tightening, vs the …

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March 3, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

As the broad market broke out above some key near term technical resistance earlier in the week, and crude oil has stabilized in the low to mid $30s, there has been some fairly speculative buying …

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March 3, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Janus Capital’s Bill Gross issued his monthly investment outlook this morning (here) with a specific focus on financial stocks, particularly banks.  Not surprisingly, Gross is cautious on the sector. He feels that monetary policy that have …

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