January 30, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

What’s the Bull Case?  Written by Jay Pelosky (bio below) for Itau’s Global Connections Jan 29th, 2016 It has certainly been a challenging start to the year – even for someone like myself who has been quite cautious (see …

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January 29, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Regular readers know that I have been less than optimistic about the return environment for equities globally with the end of QE in late 2014, and the end of ZIRP this past December.  I know …

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January 29, 2016 by CC • Trade Updates

When it comes to trading/investors, there are few things that are worse than losing money.  When it comes to making money in the markets, there are no shortage of frustrations, usually why you didn’t make …

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January 29, 2016 by CC • Trade Updates

We’ve been pretty thematic in our trading the past few months on RiskReversal. Hedge your portfolio (e.g. IWM, SPY, QQQ), avoid anything with strong dollar and international exposure and hide out in treasuries (e.g. TLT), …

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January 28, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Here were are a couple directional options trades that caught my eye in today’s trading: 1) USO – when the etf that tracks the price of oil was $9.64 a trader sold to open 50,000 April 8 …

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January 28, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Microsoft (MSFT) reports fiscal Q2 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 5.75% one day move, which is essentially in line with its 4 qtr average one day move of …

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January 28, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Amazon (AMZN) reports Q4 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about 8.5% one day move tomorrow, which is basically inline with its 10 year average one day move of 9%, and …

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January 28, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

When it comes to investing, taking a skeptical view to consensus thinking, with an eye towards risk management is a good thing. It may help you to lose less (or even make money) when popular opinion shifts …

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January 27, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Apple’s (AAPL) commentary on the global macro environment has certainly spooked tech investors, with the stock down 6.4% as I write,  placing the stock down 30% from its all time highs made in April and …

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