What’s the Bull Case? Written by Jay Pelosky (bio below) for Itau’s Global Connections Jan 29th, 2016 It has certainly been a challenging start to the year – even for someone like myself who has been quite cautious (see …
Continue readingRegular readers know that I have been less than optimistic about the return environment for equities globally with the end of QE in late 2014, and the end of ZIRP this past December. I know …
Continue readingWhen it comes to trading/investors, there are few things that are worse than losing money. When it comes to making money in the markets, there are no shortage of frustrations, usually why you didn’t make …
Continue readingWe’ve been pretty thematic in our trading the past few months on RiskReversal. Hedge your portfolio (e.g. IWM, SPY, QQQ), avoid anything with strong dollar and international exposure and hide out in treasuries (e.g. TLT), …
Continue readingFacebook’s (FB) 15% gain yesterday, equaling about $45 billion in market capitalization in one fell swoop, makes sense on one level because they were undeniably a fantastic set of results. But they are surprising against …
Continue readingHere were are a couple directional options trades that caught my eye in today’s trading: 1) USO – when the etf that tracks the price of oil was $9.64 a trader sold to open 50,000 April 8 …
Continue readingEvent: Microsoft (MSFT) reports fiscal Q2 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 5.75% one day move, which is essentially in line with its 4 qtr average one day move of …
Continue readingEvent: Amazon (AMZN) reports Q4 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about 8.5% one day move tomorrow, which is basically inline with its 10 year average one day move of 9%, and …
Continue readingWhen it comes to investing, taking a skeptical view to consensus thinking, with an eye towards risk management is a good thing. It may help you to lose less (or even make money) when popular opinion shifts …
Continue readingApple’s (AAPL) commentary on the global macro environment has certainly spooked tech investors, with the stock down 6.4% as I write, placing the stock down 30% from its all time highs made in April and …
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