January 2015 – RiskReversal

Considering Our Options – $UAL: Feb Put Spread

January 30, 2015 by CC • Commentary

UAL, up from $40 in October to nearly $70 into its recent earnings has certainly commanded our attention. We get the reasons why investors continue to bid up Airline shares, but don’t exactly agree with said …

New Trade – $DIS: Mouse Trap?

January 30, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Disney (DIS) reports their fiscal Q1 earnings Tuesday after the close, the options market is implying a 3% on day move, vs the 4 qtr avg move of only 1.7%. The stock is obviously not …

Considering Our Options – $AAPL Turnover?

January 30, 2015 by CC • Commentary

Following AAPL’s better than expected earnings and the pop in the stock back near all time highs we detailed a nice risk/reward set-up that we said wasn’t for everyone, but for those that liked the …

MorningWord 1/30/15: That’s the way it goes, but don’t forget it goes the other way too

January 30, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Heading into the last trading day of January with the futures marked down 1% and I think it is safe to say that we will have a down month, with the potential for a 3% …

Thursday’s Notable Options Activity: $ADT, $FEYE, $MCD

January 30, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Here is some untied, generally directional options activity that caught my eye during Thursday’s trading: 1. FEYE – after being very much out of favor in 2014, closing down 70% from the highs, the stock appears …

Chart of the Day – $AMZN: Fire Alarm?

January 29, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Amazon (AMZN) reports their Q4 results after the close. The options market is implying about an 8.5% one day move, which is shy of the 4 qtr avg of about 9.75%. Alibaba’s (BABA) disappointing sales …

Name That Trade – $GOOGL Yourself

January 29, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Google (GOOGL) reports their Q4 results tonight after the close. The one day implied move is about 4% vs the 4 qtr avg move of about 3.65%. GOOGL has been on our radar for months …

New Trade – Dim $YUM

January 29, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Over the last couple years Yum Brands (YUM) has been one of our favorite short targets (most recent here) into earnings given their exposure to China, their exposure to a strengthening dollar, what seems like their …

Wednesday’s Notable Options Activity: $DAL, $FB, $FCX, $OAS, $SPLS, $X

January 29, 2015 by Dan • Commentary

Here is some untied, generally directional options activity that caught my eye during Wednesday’s trading: 1. DAL – Looked like a large bullish roll in DAL when stock was 49.42, a trader sold to close 7500 …

Trade Update – Closing $TLT For Loss at Our Stop

January 28, 2015 by CC • Commentary

Following the FOMC statement TLT is again bid and sometimes you have to know when you’re wrong. We figured that between the ECB and FOMC there was a chance we’d see a change in sentiment …

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